Tag Summit County Housing Market

By Kelly Gafa, Colorado Real Estate Company

For the past few years, many homeowners have felt “locked in” to their homes because of the ultra-low mortgage rates secured during 2020 and 2021. With rates under 3% at the time, selling and purchasing another home often meant replacing a very affordable monthly payment with one significantly higher. This dynamic, known as the lock-in effect, has been a major reason housing inventory has remained so limited.

However, recent data and early signals from the 2026 market suggest that this trend may finally be starting to ease.

Today, mortgage rates have stabilized in the low-6% range, and an increasing number of homeowners now carry mortgages closer to current market rates rather than the historically low pandemic-era loans. In fact, recent analysis shows that the share of homeowners with mortgage rates above 6% now exceeds those with rates below 3% for the first time since the pandemic housing boom.

What does this mean? Simply put, the financial gap between an existing mortgage and a new one is beginning to shrink for many homeowners. While moving still requires careful financial planning, the penalty for selling and buying again is no longer as dramatic as it once was.

Another factor quietly influencing the market is time. Life events—such as growing families, job changes, retirement, or relocation—continue to happen regardless of interest rates. Many homeowners are also sitting on significant equity after several years of home price appreciation, which can help offset higher borrowing costs when moving to the next home.

For buyers, this shift could mean more listings and more opportunities entering the market as homeowners become more comfortable making a move. Even modest increases in inventory can reduce competition and create a more balanced environment.

For sellers, the conversation is beginning to change as well. Instead of focusing solely on the interest rate they might be giving up, more homeowners are considering how their current home fits their lifestyle and long-term goals.

While affordability remains a challenge and interest rates are still higher than pandemic levels, the market is gradually regaining the mobility it has lacked for several years. Waiting for the “perfect” rate may not always be the best strategy—especially when personal goals, equity gains, and lifestyle needs are part of the equation.

If you’ve been thinking about buying or selling a home here in Summit County, or another area of Colorado, but have been hesitant because of interest rates, this evolving market may present new opportunities. The local housing markets are beginning to move again, and understanding your options is the first step toward making a confident decision.

If you’d like to discuss what these changes mean for your specific situation, I’m always happy to help.

How the Housing Market Could Shift in 2026

As we move further into 2026, the housing market is beginning to feel more balanced and familiar than it has in recent years. Inventory is improving, mortgage rates have stabilized, and price growth is moderating—creating a more predictable environment for both buyers and sellers.

Below is a breakdown of what the data currently suggests for 2026—and what it could mean for your real estate plans.

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have largely held in the low 6% range for several months, providing buyers with a level of consistency they have not had in quite some time. That stability has helped restore confidence and supported renewed buyer activity.

Recent data shows the Pending Home Sales Index posting its strongest performance in nearly three years after seasonal adjustment, indicating that buyers are reengaging as rate volatility eases.

Looking ahead, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects that existing home sales could increase by approximately 14% nationwide in 2026, driven by improved alignment between rates, inventory levels, and buyer expectations.

Home Price Growth

Home prices continue to rise on a national level, but at a much slower and healthier pace than in recent years.

According to national data, price trends are increasingly market-specific. Roughly half of major U.S. markets are experiencing modest price declines, while others—particularly in parts of the Midwest and Northeast—are still seeing appreciation.

NAR forecasts national price growth of approximately 2–3% in 2026, suggesting a market that is normalizing and moving more in line with income growth rather than rapid acceleration.

Inventory

Inventory has improved meaningfully compared to the past few years, giving buyers more options and easing some of the urgency that previously defined the market.

Active housing inventory has returned to near-normal levels for the first time since early 2022, and overall inventory is estimated to be roughly 20% higher than this time last year.

While many markets—including mountain and resort areas—remain below pre-pandemic inventory norms, this increase has helped create a more functional and balanced environment for both buyers and sellers.

Bottom Line

The housing market in 2026 is moving in a healthier, more balanced direction, with steadier mortgage rates, moderating price growth, and improving inventory both nationally and here in Summit County. This shift is creating real opportunities—but also requires thoughtful timing and local insight.

For buyers, today’s conditions may offer a chance to act before lower rates bring increased competition back into the market.

For sellers, strong values combined with a more informed buyer pool mean that strategy, pricing, and preparation matter more than ever.

Markets are no longer driven by urgency alone; they are driven by knowledge. Staying informed about both national trends and local Summit County data can make a meaningful difference in your outcome.

If you’re considering a move in 2026 or simply want clarity on your options, I’m always happy to connect and help you plan with confidence. Contact me today!