Tag Real Estate

How the Housing Market Could Shift in 2026

As we move further into 2026, the housing market is beginning to feel more balanced and familiar than it has in recent years. Inventory is improving, mortgage rates have stabilized, and price growth is moderating—creating a more predictable environment for both buyers and sellers.

Below is a breakdown of what the data currently suggests for 2026—and what it could mean for your real estate plans.

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have largely held in the low 6% range for several months, providing buyers with a level of consistency they have not had in quite some time. That stability has helped restore confidence and supported renewed buyer activity.

Recent data shows the Pending Home Sales Index posting its strongest performance in nearly three years after seasonal adjustment, indicating that buyers are reengaging as rate volatility eases.

Looking ahead, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects that existing home sales could increase by approximately 14% nationwide in 2026, driven by improved alignment between rates, inventory levels, and buyer expectations.

Home Price Growth

Home prices continue to rise on a national level, but at a much slower and healthier pace than in recent years.

According to national data, price trends are increasingly market-specific. Roughly half of major U.S. markets are experiencing modest price declines, while others—particularly in parts of the Midwest and Northeast—are still seeing appreciation.

NAR forecasts national price growth of approximately 2–3% in 2026, suggesting a market that is normalizing and moving more in line with income growth rather than rapid acceleration.

Inventory

Inventory has improved meaningfully compared to the past few years, giving buyers more options and easing some of the urgency that previously defined the market.

Active housing inventory has returned to near-normal levels for the first time since early 2022, and overall inventory is estimated to be roughly 20% higher than this time last year.

While many markets—including mountain and resort areas—remain below pre-pandemic inventory norms, this increase has helped create a more functional and balanced environment for both buyers and sellers.

Bottom Line

The housing market in 2026 is moving in a healthier, more balanced direction, with steadier mortgage rates, moderating price growth, and improving inventory both nationally and here in Summit County. This shift is creating real opportunities—but also requires thoughtful timing and local insight.

For buyers, today’s conditions may offer a chance to act before lower rates bring increased competition back into the market.

For sellers, strong values combined with a more informed buyer pool mean that strategy, pricing, and preparation matter more than ever.

Markets are no longer driven by urgency alone; they are driven by knowledge. Staying informed about both national trends and local Summit County data can make a meaningful difference in your outcome.

If you’re considering a move in 2026 or simply want clarity on your options, I’m always happy to connect and help you plan with confidence. Contact me today!

If you’ve been waiting for something truly exceptional to arrive in Summit County, your wait is almost over. Set to debut for the 2025-2026 ski season, Kindred Resort is redefining luxury living in the Colorado mountains. Perfectly positioned at the base of Keystone Resort—just steps from the River Run Gondola—Kindred brings together a world-class hotel, exclusive private club, and luxury residences in one unrivaled alpine destination.

A New Standard of Luxury at Keystone

Kindred is more than just a resort—it’s a lifestyle. At the heart of this new development is Kindred Hotel, a 107-room luxury property managed by RockResorts, part of the Vail Resorts portfolio. Guests and residents alike will enjoy direct ski-in, ski-out access, a luxury spa and salon, slopeside heated pool and hot tubs, fine dining, and boutique shopping—all designed to complement Keystone’s mountain charm with an elevated level of sophistication and comfort.

From the design and amenities to the personalized service, every detail of Kindred has been crafted to provide a seamless blend of adventure, relaxation, and refinement.

The Kindred Club: A Private Alpine Experience

For those seeking a truly exclusive experience, The Kindred Club offers Summit County’s first and only private, year-round alpine club. Members will enjoy unmatched convenience and comfort, including a private slopeside locker room, ski valet, and member-only lounge. It’s the perfect basecamp to start your day with a continental breakfast, meet up with family and friends throughout the afternoon, or unwind after a full day on the mountain.

Memberships are now available on a limited basis, with lifetime, non-refundable options and yearly memberships starting at $6,500. The Club is expected to sell out by the end of 2025—an opportunity not to be missed for those who want to experience Keystone at its finest.

Luxury Residences for Sale

In addition to the hotel and club, Kindred Residences offer a collection of 95 luxury condominiums ranging from one to four bedrooms. Each residence features open-concept layouts, high-end finishes, fireplaces, private balconies, and breathtaking mountain views. These homes are designed for those who want the best of both worlds—modern elegance with a deep connection to nature.

With access to the resort’s world-class amenities, ski-in/ski-out convenience, and a location that simply can’t be replicated, Kindred represents a rare opportunity for buyers looking to invest in Summit County’s most anticipated new development.

Be Among the First

Kindred Resort is slated to open in December 2025, and interest is already high among both locals and second-home buyers seeking luxury and convenience in the heart of Keystone.

If you’d like to learn more about ownership opportunities at Kindred Resort, including current availability, floor plans, and pricing, I’d be happy to guide you through the details and help you determine if this exclusive new community is the right fit for your mountain lifestyle.

📞 Contact me, Kelly Gafa, your local Summit County real estate expert, at KellySellsSummit.com to schedule a private consultation or learn more about Kindred’s available residences.

When selling a property—especially in a unique market like Summit County—not all lending scenarios are created equal. Even a well-qualified buyer with a strong down payment can run into unexpected roadblocks if the property doesn’t fit neatly into traditional lending guidelines.

A perfect example is what recently happened with a condo listing here in Keystone at Hidden River Lodge. The buyer had a 25% down payment and received a quick conditional approval from a national lender using Fannie Mae guidelines. Everything appeared to be ahead of schedule—until the lender discovered that the complex was flagged in the national database as a “condotel.”

Locals know this particular building is not a hotel-style operation. However, once a property is flagged, large institutional lenders often won’t take the time to dig deeper. Their systems are automated, and decisions are made based on broad classifications—not local knowledge. The result? Financing stalls, deadlines shift, and stress levels rise for everyone involved.

Fortunately, a backup option through Freddie Mac became available, but it required a full condo review, a hybrid appraisal, and immediate coordination with the HOA for financial documentation. This is where having a local lender with local relationships makes a world of difference. Local lenders understand the nuances of Summit County’s resort-style properties, know which buildings carry flags, and often have direct contacts with HOA management companies, appraisers, and title reps to keep things moving.

The Value of Working with a Local Lending Expert

Here’s what a strong local lender brings to the table:

• Anticipation of Red Flags – They know which condo complexes are marked as condotels or limited review properties and can structure financing correctly from the beginning.
• Established Relationships – Local lenders can quickly get HOA budgets, reviews, and approvals without waiting in line behind nationwide processing queues.
• Resource Coordination – Need a rush appraisal or a mobile notary due to timing constraints? Local lenders have trusted vendors who can step in quickly.
• Smoother, Less Stressful Transactions – When timelines tighten, travel schedules, or seasonal rental turnovers come into play, having a lender who can pivot fast is invaluable.

A Smooth Sale Starts With the Right Team

As your real estate professional, my goal is to anticipate these challenges early, connect you with trusted local resources, and keep your sale moving forward even when secondary market guidelines shift. Working with lenders who understand Summit County—not just on paper but in practice—can be the difference between a delayed deal and a smooth closing.

Thinking of selling or buying in a complex with short-term rentals or resort-style amenities? Let’s talk about strategy and make sure your lender is just as local and proactive as your agent.

Over the past few weeks, mortgage rates hit their lowest point of the year – and it was big news. So, what you need to know if you’re buying a home is, whenever these shifts happen (whether they’re now or later), even a small change in rates can make a big difference in your monthly payment. While major drops in mortgage rates aren’t projected for the rest of 2025, smaller declines are still expected – depending on where the economy goes from here. If you want to see what the math looks like at another home loan amount or mortgage rate, call me and I’ll run the numbers for you, so you can plan ahead.