I recently came across a quote often attributed to Warren Buffett that feels especially relevant in today’s real estate market:

“The best buying and selling decisions are made with analysis, not attachment. Emotions belong in your life—not in your negotiations.”

Whether you’re buying or selling, that’s wise advice. Sellers can become emotionally attached to what they believe their property is worth. Buyers can fall in love with a home before objectively evaluating whether it aligns with their goals and finances. As Buffett suggests, good decisions require perspective and discipline—not emotion.

Lately, I’ve had several Summit County homeowners tell me they regret not selling during the peak market of 2022 and 2023.

If you’ve had that thought, I’d encourage you to let it go.

The reason you didn’t sell back then is simple: it wasn’t the right time for you. Maybe you weren’t ready to move. Maybe you hadn’t found your next property. Maybe your family situation wasn’t aligned. Whatever the reason, you made the best decision you could with the information and circumstances you had at the time.

Looking backward rarely helps us make better decisions moving forward.

The question isn’t whether you should have sold three years ago. The question is whether selling makes sense today.

According to Land Title, Summit County’s dollar volume is currently tracking approximately 9% below the same period last year. That’s an important statistic, but numbers alone don’t tell the whole story.

For many owners, a Summit County property represents much more than an investment.

During buyer consultations, I often discuss which neighborhoods and property types have historically produced the strongest appreciation and resale value. Every so often, a buyer will stop me mid-sentence and say:

“Kelly, this isn’t really about the investment. That’s secondary. We’re buying a place where our family can spend time together.”

And honestly, I understand exactly what they mean.

For many families, their mountain property isn’t simply an asset on a balance sheet. It’s where grandchildren learn to ski. It’s where holidays are celebrated, traditions are created, and lifelong memories are made. It’s where family and friends gather for powder days, summer hikes, mountain bike rides, and evenings around the campfire.

If that’s what your property represents, don’t underestimate its value.

Ten years from now, you may not remember exactly what interest rates were or what the market was doing. But you’ll remember the experiences, relationships, and memories that took place there.

That’s why it’s important not to let regret drive your decision-making. Selling simply because you’re frustrated that you missed a previous market peak can be just as emotional as buying because you’re afraid of missing the next one.

Instead, focus on what matters most: your goals, your family, your finances, and your timeline.

It’s also worth recognizing why today’s market looks different than it did a few years ago.

Has Summit County fallen out of favor? Absolutely not.

Have second homes suddenly become undesirable? Not from what I’m seeing.

The fundamentals that have made Summit County special for decades remain firmly in place. We still enjoy world-class skiing, endless outdoor recreation, a vibrant mountain community, and a limited supply of developable land.

What’s changed are the economics.

Higher interest rates have reduced affordability for many buyers, while short-term rental regulations have altered the equation for some investors. More than anything else, those two factors have slowed transaction activity compared to the extraordinary market conditions we experienced during and immediately following the pandemic.

That doesn’t mean demand has disappeared. It simply means the buyer pool has changed.

As our community continues to evolve, conversations about short-term rentals, growth, and housing policy will undoubtedly continue. Some people welcome those changes, while others view them differently. Regardless of where you stand, understanding the factors influencing today’s market is far more productive than dwelling on opportunities that have already passed.

So if you’re contemplating a sale—or considering a purchase—don’t let hindsight dictate your next move.

Don’t sell because you’re frustrated you missed yesterday’s market.

Don’t buy because you’re afraid of missing tomorrow’s.

Make decisions based on where you are today and where you want to be tomorrow.

The market will do what the market does. Your job is to make the decision that’s right for your family and your future.

As Buffett reminds us, analysis should guide our decisions—not attachment. But when it comes to owning a piece of Summit County, it’s also worth remembering that some of life’s greatest returns aren’t measured in dollars at all.

Many Colorado homeowners are opening their assessment notices and asking the same question: How can my property taxes be going up when my home value hasn’t changed much at all?

For 2026, the answer has far less to do with market appreciation and far more to do with state-level tax policy changes that are now fully taking effect.

According to a 2024 report from the Common Sense Institute of Colorado, most homeowners across the state should expect property tax bills to rise by roughly 20–25% in 2026, even if home prices have remained relatively flat. Here’s why.

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1. Pandemic-Era Tax Relief Is Expiring

During the years immediately following the pandemic, Colorado lawmakers enacted temporary property tax relief measures to cushion homeowners from rapid increases in assessed values.

For the 2024 tax year, homeowners benefited from:

• A temporarily reduced residential assessment rate of approximately 5.7%, and
• A $55,000 subtraction from the taxable value of primary residences.

These measures helped suppress tax bills at a time when property values were rising quickly. However, they were never intended to be permanent.

As of the 2025 tax year (payable in 2026), those temporary discounts have expired.

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2. A New, Higher Permanent Assessment Rate Structure

Following the repeal of the Gallagher Amendment in 2020, Colorado lost the mechanism that historically kept residential assessment rates artificially low. Since then, lawmakers have been working to rebalance the system.

A bipartisan agreement negotiated during a 2023 special legislative session — and finalized through Senate Bill 24‑233 and House Bill 24‑1001 — created a new split-rate assessment structure:

2025 Assessment Rates (Payable in 2026)

• 7.05% for school district taxes
• 6.25% for local government taxes

This structure replaces the lower, temporary 2024 rate and represents a meaningful increase in the portion of your home’s value that is subject to taxation.

Even if your home’s market value has not increased, the taxable percentage of that value has.

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3. Why a 25% Increase Is Common — Even With Flat Prices

Property taxes are calculated using three primary components:

1. Market value of the property
2. Assessment rate (set by the state)
3. Mill levies (set by local taxing authorities)

While home price growth has slowed significantly across much of Colorado — especially in mountain and resort communities — the assessment rate jump alone is enough to drive substantial increases.

For many homeowners, moving from a ~5.7% temporary rate in 2024 to a blended effective rate closer to 6.25–7.05% translates to a 20–25% higher tax bill, before any mill levy changes are factored in.

This is why homeowners are seeing higher taxes despite relatively stagnant home values.

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4. Local Factors Can Push Bills Even Higher

In addition to state-level changes, local dynamics can amplify the increase:

• School district mill levies often account for the largest portion of property tax bills, and many districts have approved bonds or overrides.
• Overlapping taxing districts (county, town, fire, recreation, special districts) mean tax bills can vary significantly from one neighborhood to the next.
• In mountain communities like Summit County, assessed values remain high even when price growth cools, compounding the effect of higher rates.

As a result, two homes with similar values can see very different tax outcomes depending on location.

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5. What About 2026 Assessment Rates?

Looking ahead to the 2026 tax year, the residential assessment rate for the local government portion is expected to rise to 6.8%.

However, House Bill 24‑1001 introduces a new mitigation tool:

• Homeowners will subtract approximately 10% of their home’s value, up to $70,000, before applying the assessment rate.

With this subtraction, the effective assessment rate for many average-priced homes is projected to be closer to 6.4%, slightly reducing the impact — but still well above the temporary pandemic-era rate.

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6. Historical Context Matters

Even with these increases, Colorado’s property taxes remain low compared to much of the country:

• Colorado average effective rate: ~0.49%
• National average: ~0.90%

That said, homeowners who became accustomed to years of declining or flat assessment rates under Gallagher are now experiencing a structural reset — and that adjustment feels abrupt.

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Bottom Line

If you are facing a 25% increase in property taxes in 2026, it is not because your home suddenly became more valuable.

It is primarily the result of:

• The expiration of temporary pandemic-era tax relief
• The implementation of higher permanent assessment rates
• School district and local mill levy impacts
• Long-term policy shifts following the repeal of the Gallagher Amendment

Understanding these changes is essential — especially for homeowners budgeting long-term or considering a future move.

If you have questions about how property taxes affect your home’s overall cost of ownership, or how these changes may influence future market dynamics, I’m always happy to be a resource.

How the Housing Market Could Shift in 2026

As we move further into 2026, the housing market is beginning to feel more balanced and familiar than it has in recent years. Inventory is improving, mortgage rates have stabilized, and price growth is moderating—creating a more predictable environment for both buyers and sellers.

Below is a breakdown of what the data currently suggests for 2026—and what it could mean for your real estate plans.

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have largely held in the low 6% range for several months, providing buyers with a level of consistency they have not had in quite some time. That stability has helped restore confidence and supported renewed buyer activity.

Recent data shows the Pending Home Sales Index posting its strongest performance in nearly three years after seasonal adjustment, indicating that buyers are reengaging as rate volatility eases.

Looking ahead, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects that existing home sales could increase by approximately 14% nationwide in 2026, driven by improved alignment between rates, inventory levels, and buyer expectations.

Home Price Growth

Home prices continue to rise on a national level, but at a much slower and healthier pace than in recent years.

According to national data, price trends are increasingly market-specific. Roughly half of major U.S. markets are experiencing modest price declines, while others—particularly in parts of the Midwest and Northeast—are still seeing appreciation.

NAR forecasts national price growth of approximately 2–3% in 2026, suggesting a market that is normalizing and moving more in line with income growth rather than rapid acceleration.

Inventory

Inventory has improved meaningfully compared to the past few years, giving buyers more options and easing some of the urgency that previously defined the market.

Active housing inventory has returned to near-normal levels for the first time since early 2022, and overall inventory is estimated to be roughly 20% higher than this time last year.

While many markets—including mountain and resort areas—remain below pre-pandemic inventory norms, this increase has helped create a more functional and balanced environment for both buyers and sellers.

Bottom Line

The housing market in 2026 is moving in a healthier, more balanced direction, with steadier mortgage rates, moderating price growth, and improving inventory both nationally and here in Summit County. This shift is creating real opportunities—but also requires thoughtful timing and local insight.

For buyers, today’s conditions may offer a chance to act before lower rates bring increased competition back into the market.

For sellers, strong values combined with a more informed buyer pool mean that strategy, pricing, and preparation matter more than ever.

Markets are no longer driven by urgency alone; they are driven by knowledge. Staying informed about both national trends and local Summit County data can make a meaningful difference in your outcome.

If you’re considering a move in 2026 or simply want clarity on your options, I’m always happy to connect and help you plan with confidence. Contact me today!

When selling a property—especially in a unique market like Summit County—not all lending scenarios are created equal. Even a well-qualified buyer with a strong down payment can run into unexpected roadblocks if the property doesn’t fit neatly into traditional lending guidelines.

A perfect example is what recently happened with a condo listing here in Keystone at Hidden River Lodge. The buyer had a 25% down payment and received a quick conditional approval from a national lender using Fannie Mae guidelines. Everything appeared to be ahead of schedule—until the lender discovered that the complex was flagged in the national database as a “condotel.”

Locals know this particular building is not a hotel-style operation. However, once a property is flagged, large institutional lenders often won’t take the time to dig deeper. Their systems are automated, and decisions are made based on broad classifications—not local knowledge. The result? Financing stalls, deadlines shift, and stress levels rise for everyone involved.

Fortunately, a backup option through Freddie Mac became available, but it required a full condo review, a hybrid appraisal, and immediate coordination with the HOA for financial documentation. This is where having a local lender with local relationships makes a world of difference. Local lenders understand the nuances of Summit County’s resort-style properties, know which buildings carry flags, and often have direct contacts with HOA management companies, appraisers, and title reps to keep things moving.

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The Value of Working with a Local Lending Expert

Here’s what a strong local lender brings to the table:

• Anticipation of Red Flags – They know which condo complexes are marked as condotels or limited review properties and can structure financing correctly from the beginning.
• Established Relationships – Local lenders can quickly get HOA budgets, reviews, and approvals without waiting in line behind nationwide processing queues.
• Resource Coordination – Need a rush appraisal or a mobile notary due to timing constraints? Local lenders have trusted vendors who can step in quickly.
• Smoother, Less Stressful Transactions – When timelines tighten, travel schedules, or seasonal rental turnovers come into play, having a lender who can pivot fast is invaluable.

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A Smooth Sale Starts With the Right Team

As your real estate professional, my goal is to anticipate these challenges early, connect you with trusted local resources, and keep your sale moving forward even when secondary market guidelines shift. Working with lenders who understand Summit County—not just on paper but in practice—can be the difference between a delayed deal and a smooth closing.

Thinking of selling or buying in a complex with short-term rentals or resort-style amenities? Let’s talk about strategy and make sure your lender is just as local and proactive as your agent.

It’s common to hear buyers say they’re waiting because of today’s political and economic uncertainty. But here in Summit County, waiting often costs more than it saves.

There has never been a “perfect” time to buy. Elections, shifting policies, and economic cycles are always in motion—but over the long term, Summit County real estate continues to appreciate. Buyers who pause until things feel more stable often discover that prices have risen, inventory has tightened, or the home they loved is no longer available.

Those who act during uncertain times, however, tend to win. They lock in today’s opportunities, start building equity immediately, and shield themselves from rising rents. If interest rates go down in the future, refinancing is always an option—but if prices climb, waiting only means paying more later.

In Summit County especially, where inventory is limited and demand stays strong thanks to second-home buyers and year-round recreation, timing the market is nearly impossible. The best move is focusing on what you can control: your lifestyle, your monthly payment, and your long-term goals.

When others sit on the sidelines, the buyers who step forward secure the advantage. In uncertain times, opportunity often belongs to those willing to take action.

Baby boomers (ages 60–78) have once again become the largest group of both home buyers (42%) and sellers (53%), according to the National Association of REALTORS® 2025 Generational Trends Report.

Motivated by a desire to move closer to loved ones, retire, or downsize, many boomers are entering the market with strong financial footing. They’ve stayed in their homes longer—13 to 16 years—giving them time to build significant equity. With home prices up 47% in the past five years, they’re now using that equity to buy again, often with cash: 50% of older boomers and 40% of younger boomers avoided mortgages altogether.

In fact, 62% of buyers aged 70–78 and 53% of those 60–69 used proceeds from a prior home sale for their down payment. Unlike younger generations, boomers rarely report making financial sacrifices to afford a home—highlighting their stability in today’s high-cost market. That said, baby boomers share one common sentiment with every other generation: finding the right home can still be challenging. And that’s where having a trusted real estate professional truly matters. If you’re thinking about buying or selling—and leveraging the equity you’ve built over the years—now may be the perfect time to make your move. I’d be honored to guide you every step of the way.

📞 Let’s connect and start planning your next chapter today.

—Kelly Gafa Your Trusted Real Estate Advisor

With higher mortgage rates and moderating buyer demand, conditions in the housing market are different today. And if you’re thinking of selling your house, it’s important to understand how the market has changed and what that means for you. The best way to make sure you’re in the know is to work with a trusted housing market expert.

Here are five reasons working with a professional can ensure you’ll get the most out of your sale.

1. A Real Estate Advisor Is an Expert on Market Trends

Leslie Rouda Smith, 2022 President of the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“During challenging and changing market conditions, one thing that’s calming and constant is the assurance that comes from a Realtor® being in your corner through every step of the home transaction. Consumers can rely on Realtors®’ unmatched work ethic, trusted guidance and objectivity to help manage the complexities associated with the home buying and selling process.”

An expert real estate advisor has the latest information about national trends and your local area too. More importantly, they’ll know what all of this means for you so they’ll be able to help you make a decision based on trustworthy, data-bound information.

2. A Local Professional Knows How To Set the Right Price for Your House

Home price appreciation has moderated this year. If you sell your house on your own, you may be more likely to overshoot your asking price because you’re not as aware of where prices are today. If you do, you run the risk of deterring buyers or seeing your house sit on the market for longer.

Real estate professionals provide an unbiased eye when they help you determine a price for your house. They’ll use a variety of factors, like the condition of your home and any upgrades you’ve made, and compare your house to recently sold homes in your area to find the best price for today’s market. These steps are key to making sure it’s set to move as quickly as possible.

3. A Real Estate Advisor Helps Maximize Your Pool of Buyers

Since buyer demand has cooled this year, you’ll want to do what you can to help bring in more buyers. Real estate professionals have a large variety of tools at their disposal, such as social media followers, agency resources, and the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) to ensure your house gets in front of people looking to make a purchase. Investopedia explains why it’s risky to sell on your own without the network an agent provides:

“You don’t have relationships with clients, other agents, or a real estate agency to bring the largest pool of potential buyers to your home.”

Without access to the tools and your agent’s marketing expertise, your buyer pool – and your home’s selling potential – is limited.

4. A Real Estate Expert Will Read – and Understand – the Fine Print

Today, more disclosures and regulations are mandatory when selling a house. That means the number of legal documents you’ll need to juggle is growing. NAR explains it like this:

“Selling a home typically requires a variety of forms, reports, disclosures, and other legal and financial documents. . . . Also, there’s a lot of jargon involved in a real estate transaction; you want to work with a professional who can speak the language.”

A real estate professional knows exactly what all the fine print means and how to work through it efficiently. They’ll help you review the documents and avoid any costly missteps that could occur if you try to handle them on your own.

5. A Trusted Advisor Is a Skilled Negotiator

In today’s market, buyers are also regaining some negotiation power as bidding wars ease. If you sell without a professional, you’ll also be responsible for any back-and-forth. That means you’ll have to coordinate with:

• The buyer, who wants the best deal possible
• The buyer’s agent, who will use their expertise to advocate for the buyer
• The inspection company, which works for the buyer and will almost always find concerns with the house
• The appraiser, who assesses the property’s value to protect the lender

Instead of going toe-to-toe with all the above parties alone, lean on an expert. They’ll know what levers to pull, how to address everyone’s concerns, and when you may want to get a second opinion.

Bottom Line

Don’t go at it alone. If you’re planning to sell your house this winter, let’s connect so you have an expert by your side to guide you in today’s market.

Some homeowners consider selling their homes on their own (known in the industry as a For Sale By Owner). However, a FSBO might be hard to execute well for the vast majority of sellers.

Here are the top 5 reasons not to FSBO:

1. Online Strategy for Prospective Purchasers

Studies have shown that 93% of buyers search online for a home. That’s a pretty staggering number! Most real estate agents have an Internet strategy to promote the sale of your home. Do you?

2. Results Come from the Internet

According to NAR, here’s where buyers found the homes they actually purchased:

• 55% on the Internet
• 28% from a Real Estate Agent
• 10% Other
• 6% from a Yard Sign
• 1% from Newspapers

The days of selling your house by putting up a sign in your yard or placing an ad in the paper are long gone. Having a strong Internet strategy is crucial.

3. There Are Too Many People to Negotiate With

Here’s a list of some of the people with whom you must be prepared to negotiate if you decide to FSBO:

• The buyer, who wants the best deal possible
• The buyer’s agent, who solely represents the best interest of the buyer
• The buyer’s attorney (in some parts of the country)
• The home inspection companies, which work for the buyer and will almost always find some problems with the house
• The appraiser, if there is a question of value

4. FSBOing Has Become Increasingly Difficult

The paperwork involved in buying or selling a home has increased dramatically as industry disclosures and regulations have become mandatory. This is one of the reasons the percentage of people FSBOing has dropped from 19% to 8% over the last 20+ years.

5. You Net More Money When Using an Agent

Many homeowners believe they’ll save the real estate commission by selling on their own, but the seller and buyer can’t both save the commission.

A report by Zillow revealed that FSBOs are inclined to do so because they believe it will save money (46 percent cite this among their top three reasons), but they don’t actually save anything, and eventually end up listing with an agent.

The same report revealed that,

“While 36% of sellers that (at first) attempted to sell their homes on their own, only 11 percent of sellers—in other words, less than a third…actually sold without an agent.”

It appears working with a real estate professional is the best answer.

Bottom Line

Before you decide to take on the challenges of selling your house on your own, let’s get together to discuss your needs.

In today’s real estate market, setting the right price for your house is one of the most valuable things you can do.

According to the U.S. Economic Outlook by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home prices nationwide are forecasted to increase 4.7% in 2020 and 4.1% in 2021. This means experts anticipate home values will continue climbing into next year. Today, low inventory is largely keeping prices from depreciating. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, notes:

“Looking at the sheer number of buyers, low mortgage rates, and limited sellers, the strength of home prices–which are now growing at the highest pace since January 2018–makes sense.”

When it comes to pricing your home, the goal is to increase visibility and drive more buyers your way. Instead of trying to win the negotiation with one buyer, you should price your house so that demand is maximized and more buyers want to take a look.

How to Price Your Home

As a seller, you might be thinking about pricing your house on the high end while so many of today’s buyers are searching harder than ever just to find a home to purchase. You’re thinking, higher price, greater profit, right? But here’s the thing – a high price tag does not mean you’re going to cash in big on the sale. It’s actually more likely to deter buyers and have them looking at the houses your neighbors are selling instead.

Even today, when the advantage tips toward sellers because there are so few houses for sale, your house is more likely to sit on the market longer or require a price drop that can send buyers running in the other direction if it isn’t priced just right.

A Trusted Real Estate Professional Will Help

It’s important to make sure your house is priced correctly by working in partnership with a trusted real estate professional. When you price it competitively, you won’t be negotiating with one buyer over the price. Instead, you’ll have multiple buyers competing for the home, and that’s what ultimately increases the final sale price.

The key is making sure your house is priced to sell immediately. That way, it will be seen by the most buyers. More than one of them may be interested, and your house will be more likely to sell at a competitive price.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking about listing your house this fall, let’s discuss how to price it right so you can maximize your exposure and your return.