Category Home Prices

How the Housing Market Could Shift in 2026

As we move further into 2026, the housing market is beginning to feel more balanced and familiar than it has in recent years. Inventory is improving, mortgage rates have stabilized, and price growth is moderating—creating a more predictable environment for both buyers and sellers.

Below is a breakdown of what the data currently suggests for 2026—and what it could mean for your real estate plans.

Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates have largely held in the low 6% range for several months, providing buyers with a level of consistency they have not had in quite some time. That stability has helped restore confidence and supported renewed buyer activity.

Recent data shows the Pending Home Sales Index posting its strongest performance in nearly three years after seasonal adjustment, indicating that buyers are reengaging as rate volatility eases.

Looking ahead, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) projects that existing home sales could increase by approximately 14% nationwide in 2026, driven by improved alignment between rates, inventory levels, and buyer expectations.

Home Price Growth

Home prices continue to rise on a national level, but at a much slower and healthier pace than in recent years.

According to national data, price trends are increasingly market-specific. Roughly half of major U.S. markets are experiencing modest price declines, while others—particularly in parts of the Midwest and Northeast—are still seeing appreciation.

NAR forecasts national price growth of approximately 2–3% in 2026, suggesting a market that is normalizing and moving more in line with income growth rather than rapid acceleration.

Inventory

Inventory has improved meaningfully compared to the past few years, giving buyers more options and easing some of the urgency that previously defined the market.

Active housing inventory has returned to near-normal levels for the first time since early 2022, and overall inventory is estimated to be roughly 20% higher than this time last year.

While many markets—including mountain and resort areas—remain below pre-pandemic inventory norms, this increase has helped create a more functional and balanced environment for both buyers and sellers.

Bottom Line

The housing market in 2026 is moving in a healthier, more balanced direction, with steadier mortgage rates, moderating price growth, and improving inventory both nationally and here in Summit County. This shift is creating real opportunities—but also requires thoughtful timing and local insight.

For buyers, today’s conditions may offer a chance to act before lower rates bring increased competition back into the market.

For sellers, strong values combined with a more informed buyer pool mean that strategy, pricing, and preparation matter more than ever.

Markets are no longer driven by urgency alone; they are driven by knowledge. Staying informed about both national trends and local Summit County data can make a meaningful difference in your outcome.

If you’re considering a move in 2026 or simply want clarity on your options, I’m always happy to connect and help you plan with confidence. Contact me today!

Copper Mountain continues to attract buyers who want more than just a ski condo — they want a lifestyle investment that can be enjoyed personally and leveraged financially. Copper Mountain real estate market offers a wide range of opportunities across price points and property types. Understanding what’s available — and what truly drives value — is essential before making a purchase.

As a local Summit County real estate agent who works closely with Copper buyers, I help clients evaluate not only purchase price, but long-term usability, rental performance, HOA health, resale potential, and so much more.

Below is a current breakdown of what buyers can expect at Copper Mountain today.

Studio Condos: $475,000 – $550,000

Studios remain one of the most accessible entry points into Copper Mountain ownership and are especially attractive for buyers planning to short-term rent (STR) when not in use.

One of the most popular studio options is Telemark Condominiums, located just a short walk to Center Village. Buyers are drawn to:

• Community yard space (ideal for summer use, BBQs, and dog owners)
• Indoor hot tub
• Underground parking
• Ski lockers
• Strong rental appeal due to proximity and amenities

In addition to Telemark, several other studio options exist throughout Copper Mountain, each with varying levels of updates, amenities, and rental performance. Selecting the right studio requires careful attention to HOA rules, parking, and guest experience — details I help my clients evaluate upfront.

One-Bedroom Condos: $600,000 – $850,000

One-bedroom units offer a significant step up in livability and flexibility.

Popular complexes include:

• Passage Point
• Tucker Mountain Lodge
• Copper Springs Lodge

Some one-bedroom units are oversized floorplans, offering additional sleeping areas such as alcoves or bonus spaces. These layouts often deliver stronger rental returns and long-term value.

Two-Bedroom Condos: $825,000 – $1.2M

Two-bedroom condos offer the most variety. These properties appeal to families, multi-generational buyers, and groups seeking comfort without moving into higher-maintenance property types.

This is often where buyers must make strategic trade-offs, and having local market insight can prevent overpaying for features that do not materially impact resale or rental demand.

Three-Bedroom Properties: $1M – $2.3M

Three-bedroom properties span the widest price range because they include condos, townhomes, and duplexes.

Entry-level three-bedroom options around $1M do exist, typically in older buildings such as Snowbridge Square, where the third bedroom is often a loft. At the higher end, buyers will find newer townhomes and duplexes with:

• Private garages
• Larger square footage
• Improved privacy
• Strong appeal for longer stays and repeat renters

Understanding construction quality, HOA reserves, and future assessments is especially important in this category.

Single-Family Homes: $3M – $8M+

Single-family homes at Copper Mountain represent the most exclusive segment of the market and are limited in both inventory and availability. Entry pricing generally begins around $3M, with premier properties exceeding $8M.

Lewis Ranch

Copper Mountain’s only true ski-in/ski-out neighborhood, Lewis Ranch offers direct slope access, privacy, and expansive mountain homesites. Properties here command a premium due to their scarcity, views, and convenience, making them highly coveted for legacy buyers and long-term hold strategies.

The Masters at Copper Creek

Located along the Copper Creek Golf Course, The Masters offers a quieter, more residential feel with stunning golf course and Tenmile Range views.

Values in this category are driven by:

• Garage size and storage (a major differentiator at this level)
• Ski access vs. golf course frontage
• Lot size and orientation
• Privacy and view corridors
• Quality of construction and architectural style

What Really Drives Price at Copper Mountain

While bedrooms and square footage matter, overall pricing is influenced by several nuanced factors, including:

• Condo vs. townhome or duplex
• Top-floor units with vaulted ceilings
• Walk-out patios vs. interior units
• Ski-in/ski-out access
• Building amenities (hot tubs, ski lockers, fitness areas)
• Underground parking or private garages
• Unit condition and age of building
• Health and management of the HOA

These variables often matter more than buyers initially realize — and they can dramatically impact both enjoyment and long-term value.

Final Thoughts

Copper Mountain offers a compelling blend of lifestyle and investment potential, especially for buyers open to offsetting ownership costs through short-term rentals. The key is buying the right property, not just any property.

As a local Summit County agent with extensive experience at Copper Mountain, I provide clients with clear guidance on pricing, rental viability, HOA due diligence, and long-term market positioning — so they can buy with confidence.

Ready to explore Copper Mountain ownership?

If you’re considering buying at Copper Mountain or want a personalized breakdown of what fits your goals and budget, I’d be happy to help. Reach out anytime for a tailored strategy and on-the-ground insight.

There’s something unmistakable about Summit County during the holidays. The snow feels deeper, the lights glow brighter, and each mountain town seems wrapped in its own version of winter magic. Whether you’re carving fresh powder in Breckenridge, catching first chair at Keystone, or taking in the views from Copper Mountain, this season has a way of reminding people why Summit County remains one of the most iconic winter destinations in the Rockies.

And here’s something I see every single year:

Many holiday visitors don’t just come back again — they become homeowners.

If you’re here right now enjoying the skiing, the food, the festivities, and that crisp Rocky Mountain air, this might be the perfect moment to explore what owning your own Summit County retreat could look like.

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The Holidays Are When Summit County Truly Shines

No matter how many times you’ve visited, the holiday season here feels special:

• World-class snow across four major resorts, all just minutes apart
• Night skiing at Keystone — a favorite for families and après-ski adventures
• Charming historic Main Streets filled with shops, restaurants, and tasting rooms
• Torchlight parades, fireworks, seasonal events, and nonstop holiday cheer
• That magical, quiet moment when you step outside and hear nothing but falling snow

It’s no surprise that this is often when visitors start imagining something more permanent.

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Why So Many Holiday Visitors Decide to Invest Here

You may be here for a long weekend or a weeklong ski trip — but the value of owning in Summit County lasts far beyond the holidays.

1. Your Own Personal Slice of Paradise

No more scrambling for rentals during peak season or paying premium holiday rates. Your home is always ready — stocked, familiar, and waiting for you whenever the mountains call.

2. A True Four-Season Lifestyle

People come for the winter… and fall in love with the rest of the year. Summit County isn’t just a ski destination — it’s a year-round playground:

• Summer festivals and concerts
• Gold-medal fly fishing
• Mountain biking and hiking
• Paddleboarding and sailing on Lake Dillon
• Leaf Peeping during the Fall

Your investment works for you well beyond ski season.

3. Short-Term Rental Potential

Many second-home owners offset costs by renting their property when they’re not using it — especially during:

• Holiday weeks
• Spring break
• Peak summer weekends

Depending on location and property type, short-term rentals can significantly reduce carrying costs. It’s important to understand where rentals are permitted and where they are not — and that’s where knowledgeable local guidance matters – contact me for more information!

4. More Inventory, More Options

The market has shifted from the frenzy of recent years. Buyers today are seeing:

• Improved selection
• More room to negotiate
• Time to make thoughtful decisions

For those who’ve been waiting, this winter presents real opportunity.

5. Long-Term Lifestyle Value

Owning here isn’t just about real estate — it’s about:

• Creating family traditions
• Spending more time outdoors
• Making holiday memories that last for decades
• Having a place that slows life down in all the right ways

Yes, it’s an investment — but it’s also an investment in your quality of life.

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Curious to Explore While You’re Here?

Most people don’t plan to look at homes during a ski vacation… and yet many do. Seeing properties while you’re already experiencing the lifestyle can be incredibly helpful.

If you’d like:

• A quick tour of available homes
• Insight into different areas (Keystone vs. Breckenridge vs. Copper vs. Frisco)
• A realistic conversation about today’s market and pricing

I’m happy to help! With years of experience and deep local knowledge, my goal is simple: provide clear, honest information — no pressure, no sales pitch.

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Final Thought

Holiday memories in Summit County have a way of sticking with you — first tracks after a storm, hot chocolate by the fire, lights twinkling over a snow-covered village. For many visitors, those moments spark a bigger idea:

What if this could be our place — every winter?

If you’re curious what owning a piece of Summit County could look like, I’d love to explore the possibilities with you.

— Kelly Gafa
Colorado Real Estate Company
970.409.6228

It’s common to hear buyers say they’re waiting because of today’s political and economic uncertainty. But here in Summit County, waiting often costs more than it saves.

There has never been a “perfect” time to buy. Elections, shifting policies, and economic cycles are always in motion—but over the long term, Summit County real estate continues to appreciate. Buyers who pause until things feel more stable often discover that prices have risen, inventory has tightened, or the home they loved is no longer available.

Those who act during uncertain times, however, tend to win. They lock in today’s opportunities, start building equity immediately, and shield themselves from rising rents. If interest rates go down in the future, refinancing is always an option—but if prices climb, waiting only means paying more later.

In Summit County especially, where inventory is limited and demand stays strong thanks to second-home buyers and year-round recreation, timing the market is nearly impossible. The best move is focusing on what you can control: your lifestyle, your monthly payment, and your long-term goals.

When others sit on the sidelines, the buyers who step forward secure the advantage. In uncertain times, opportunity often belongs to those willing to take action.

If you’ve been browsing condos in the Wildernest neighborhood, you may have noticed that certain complexes—such as Treehouse, Buffalo Ridge, and Silver Queen East—are listed at lower prices compared to similar properties elsewhere in Summit County. While this might seem like a hidden deal, there’s an important reason behind the pricing: insurance coverage challenges.

The Insurance Factor

Wildfire risk has become a major issue across Colorado, and Wildernest is considered a “fire zone” since it’s bordered by national forest on three sides. Because of this higher risk, several insurance carriers have pulled out of the area. That leaves only a handful of providers willing to write policies—and with limited competition, premiums and deductibles have risen significantly.

How This Affects Buyers

Lenders don’t just qualify you as a buyer—they also have to qualify the property. If a condo association doesn’t have adequate insurance coverage, or if their reserves aren’t sufficient to cover a high deductible, the property may not qualify for conventional financing.

That creates a challenge because most buyers in Wildernest’s price range rely on a mortgage. Without conventional financing, the buyer pool shrinks dramatically, which in turn puts downward pressure on property values.

Rising HOA Dues

In addition, many HOAs in the area have raised monthly dues in order to offset rising insurance costs and rebuild reserves. Higher dues combined with limited financing options can deter potential buyers, which is another reason why prices in these complexes appear more affordable.

Alternative Financing Options

While conventional loans may be difficult to obtain in these complexes, there are non-conventional loan products available. For example, Samantha Daily with Movement Mortgage currently offers investor loan products at competitive rates (based on strong credit and 20% down):

• Primary residence: 6.875%
• Second home: 7.0%
• Investment property: 7.125%

These financing options may open the door for the right buyer to purchase in Wildernest despite the insurance hurdles.

The Bottom Line

Condo owners looking to sell in Wildernest must adjust pricing to account for these challenges. For buyers, this can present a unique opportunity: while financing may require some extra legwork, properties in Wildernest can offer more square footage, great amenities, and incredible access to nature at a lower upfront price point compared to other areas.

👉 If you’d like to learn more about financing options, HOAs, or whether a Wildernest condo could be the right fit for you, let’s connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the details and explore what makes sense for your home search.

—Kelly Gafa, Your Summit County Real Estate Resource

The current real estate landscape is undergoing a quiet but meaningful shift—one that presents a fresh window of opportunity for buyers, especially those who’ve been patiently waiting on the sidelines.

According to recent data from Redfin, home values are beginning to soften in certain markets, particularly for those who purchased during the post-pandemic peak. Homeowners who bought during the height of the real estate frenzy—when interest rates were at historic lows and bidding wars were the norm—are the most at risk of seeing a potential loss if they were to sell in today’s market. Redfin estimates that 16.4% of homeowners who purchased at the top of the post-pandemic surge could face a loss if they sold now. In contrast, only 9% of those who bought during the broader pandemic window, and just 1.8% of pre-pandemic buyers, would be in that position.

It’s important to note that these figures are theoretical. Not every homeowner is listing right now, & many are choosing to wait and see what offers the future market may bring. But for those who do need to sell, pricing strategy & market positioning are more important than ever.

More Inventory = More Buyer Choices

For buyers, this market shift is presenting long-awaited advantages. Higher interest rates over the past year have cooled bidding wars, & we’re now seeing increased market fluidity. Homes are staying on the market longer, & sellers—especially those with strong equity positions—are becoming more flexible on pricing.

We are seeing more opportunities for buyers to pay a little less than they would have just a year or two ago, and that’s a meaningful shift for anyone who’s been watching and waiting for prices to come down.

In fact, a recent Wall Street Journal report noted that there are now half a million more sellers than buyers across the U.S.—with the greatest imbalance in regions where rapid growth and development occurred over the last few years.

Sellers Waiting for Better Timing
With fewer buyers and more competition, many sellers are choosing to hold off rather than reduce their price. Some are de-listing their homes altogether with plans to relist next year, according to Redfin.

What This Means for You
As a professional real estate agent and local market expert, I’m seeing a shift that gives buyers more negotiating power than we’ve had in years. If you’ve been hesitant to enter the market because of the frenzy, now might be the moment you’ve been waiting for.

Ready to Take the Next Step
If you’re curious about what’s available or how to navigate this evolving market, I’d be happy to help you explore your options—whether you’re a first-time buyer, investor, or looking for a mountain getaway.

Let’s connect and talk about what opportunity might look like for you in today’s market.
— Kelly Gafa
Local Realtor | Market Expert
PHONE: 970.409.6228

The Game-Changing Boost of New Loan Limits in Summit County.

As of today, Summit County has witnessed a significant boost in its conforming loan limits, with the new cap now set at an impressive $1,006,250. This exciting news brings with it a wave of opportunities for homebuyers, signaling a positive shift in the real estate landscape.

Understanding Conforming Loan Limits:

Conforming loan limits are the maximum loan amounts that government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac are willing to purchase. These limits are established to ensure the stability of the mortgage market and to prevent excessive risk-taking by lenders. In high-cost areas like Summit County, where real estate prices tend to be higher, conforming loan limits are adjusted accordingly to accommodate the local housing market dynamics.

With a higher conforming loan limit, buyers in Summit County now have greater access to financing. This means that they can qualify for larger loans, allowing them to consider a broader range of properties that may have been previously out of reach.

Higher loan limits often translate into more affordable financing options. As buyers can secure larger loans at favorable interest rates, the overall cost of homeownership becomes more manageable.

An increase in conforming loan limits also has the potential to stimulate market activity. This positive shift is expected to uplift the local market, empowering buyers to realize their dreams of homeownership.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling a home this year, you may have questions about what’s happening with home prices today as the market cools. In the simplest sense, nationally, experts don’t expect prices to come crashing down, but the level of home price moderation will depend on factors like supply and demand in each local market.

That means, moving forward, home price appreciation will continue to vary by location, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. Here’s a quick snapshot of what the experts are saying:

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, says:

“The major question on the minds of homeowners and aspiring buyers alike is what will happen to home prices. . . Soaring prices were propelled by all-time low mortgage rates which are a thing of the past. As a result, home price growth is expected to continue slowing, dipping below its pre-pandemic average to 5.4% for 2023, as a whole.”

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“House price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track, but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.”

Taylor Marr, Deputy Chief Economist at Redfin, says:

“For those bearish folks eagerly awaiting the home price crash, you’ll have to keep waiting. As much as demand is pulling back supply is as well reducing downward pressure on prices in the short run.”

John Paulson, Founder of Paulson & Co., says:

“It’s true – housing may be a little frothy. So housing prices may come down or they may plateau . . .”

What Does This Mean for You?

The best way to get the answers you need is to lean on a local real estate advisor. They’ll be able to explain the latest trends in your specific market so you can make a confident and informed decision on your next step toward buying or selling a home.

Bottom Line

If you have questions about what’s happening with home prices today, let’s connect so you have the latest on our local market.

Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what’s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you’re thinking about buying a home. Here’s a look at the latest expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices so you can make your best move possible.

Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Respond to Inflation

There’s no doubt mortgage rates have skyrocketed this year as the market responded to high inflation. The increases we’ve seen were fast and dramatic, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate even surpassed 7% at the end of last month. In fact, it’s the first time they’ve risen this high in over 20 years (see graph below):

In their latest quarterly report, Freddie Mac explains just how fast the climb in rates has been:

“Just one year ago, rates were under 3%. This means that while mortgage rates are not as high as they were in the 80’s, they have more than doubled in the past year. Mortgage rates have never doubled in a year before.”

Because we’re in unprecedented territory, it’s hard to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. Projecting the future of mortgage rates is far from an exact science, but experts do agree that, moving forward, mortgage rates will continue to respond to inflation. If inflation stays high, mortgage rates likely will too.

Home Price Changes Will Vary by Market

As buyer demand has eased this year in response to those higher mortgage rates, home prices have moderated in many markets too. In terms of the forecast for next year, expert projections are mixed. The general consensus is home price appreciation will vary by local market, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“House price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track, but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.”

Basically, some areas may still see slight price growth while others may see slight price declines. It all depends on other factors at play in that local market, like the balance between supply and demand. This may be why experts are divided on their latest national forecasts (see graph below):

Bottom Line

If you want to know what’s happening with home prices or mortgage rates, let’s connect so you have the latest on what experts are saying and what that means for our area.

As the housing market cools in response to the dramatic rise in mortgage rates, home price appreciation is cooling as well. And if you’re following along with headlines in the media, you’re probably seeing a wide range of opinions calling for everything from falling home prices to ongoing appreciation. But what’s true? What’s most likely to happen moving forward?

While opinions differ, the most likely outcome is we’ll fall somewhere in the middle of slight appreciation and slight depreciation. Here’s a look at the latest expert projections so you have the best information possible today.

What the Experts Are Saying About Home Prices Next Year

The graph below shows the most up-to-date forecasts from five experts in the housing industry. These are the experts that have most recently updated their projections based on current market trends:

As the graph shows, the three blue bars represent experts calling for ongoing home price appreciation, just at a more moderate rate than recent years. The red bars on the graph are experts calling for home price depreciation.

While there isn’t a clear consensus, if you take the average (shown in green) of all five of these forecasts, the most likely outcome is, nationally, home price appreciation will be fairly flat next year.

What Does This Mean?

Basically, experts are divided on what’s ahead for 2023. Home prices will likely depreciate slightly in some markets and will continue to gain ground in others. It all depends on the conditions in your local market, like how overheated that market was in recent years, current inventory levels, buyer demand, and more.

The good news is home prices are expected to return to more normal levels of appreciation rather quickly. The latest forecast from Wells Fargo shows that, while they feel prices will fall in 2023, they think prices will recover and net positive in 2024. That forecast calls for 3.1% appreciation in 2024, which is a number much more in line with the long-term average of 4% annual appreciation.

And the Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) from Pulsenomics, a poll of over one hundred industry experts, also calls for ongoing appreciation of roughly 2.6 to 4% from 2024-2026. This goes to show, even if prices decline slightly next year, it’s not expected to be a lasting trend.

As Jason Lewris, Co-Founder and Chief Data Officer for Parcl, says:

“In the absence of trustworthy, up-to-date information, real estate decisions are increasingly being driven by fear, uncertainty, and doubt.”

Don’t let fear or uncertainty change your plans. If you’re unsure about where prices are headed or how to make sense of what’s going on in today’s housing market, reach out to a local real estate professional for the guidance you need each step of the way.

Bottom Line

The housing market is shifting, and it’s a confusing place right now. Let’s connect so you have a trusted real estate professional to help you make confident and informed decisions about what’s happening in our market.